A “Status Quo” Election
What We Know In what turned out to be a not-so-close electoral race, President Barack Obama returns to the White House with an opportunity to solidify the implementation of his cornerstone achievement, the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The first thing this year’s election results made clear was that the ACA is here to stay, and efforts to fully repeal the law are unlikely. However, attempts to fine-tune provisions of the ACA are possible since this year’s electorate also returned a divided Congress. As the Election Day dust continues to settle, the make-up of the 113th Congress has become clearer. In the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans retained their majority with a total of 233 seats (218 needed), slightly less than their majority in the 112th Congress. As of November 13, 2012, seven House races remained too close to call. Conversely, Democrats in the U.S. Senate succeeded in building upon their existing majority to garner a total of 53 seats. See the accompanying chart for a full U.S. House/Senate Election Day breakdown. What We Don’t Know Everything else. Even though this year’s elections returned the same political paradigm to Washington, DC, it doesn’t necessarily mean overwhelming partisan warfare will continue to reign. While Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, their diminished majority could spur a heightened perspective about what it will take to remain in the majority. In addition, Democrats must be cognizant of the fact that many now view the Democrat-controlled Senate as a place where legislation goes to die. An optimistic view of this year’s election results points toward both parties finally realizing that they can’t effectively legislate from the far right or far left. A negative view dictates another “do-nothing” attitude in which no meaningful legislating occurs. What Happens Now? Members of the 112th Congress returned to Washington, DC, to convene a lame-duck session on November 13, 2012. The legislative activity or inactivity of the lame duck will drive much of the initial agenda for the 113th Congress. Before the end of this year, Congress must address (at least in concept): expiring tax provisions; looming across-the-board spending cuts due to sequestration; a pending debt ceiling increase; and avoiding the 26.5 percent cut in Medicare physician payments slated for January 1, 2013. Conclusion Perhaps the most important thing to remember about the 2012 elections is that the results may be viewed as deceptive. While the electoral vote results returned the President to the White House by a clear margin, there was only a two percentage point difference in the popular vote. Much talk is given to the ideological divide and partisanship that exists on Capitol Hill. However, this year’s election results indicate that the same ideological divide is alive and well within the overall population of the United States. Elected leaders from both parties will be best-served to recognize that no clear power mandate has been deemed by Election Day and movement toward more “give-and-take” legislating will yield the most positive results (and improved approval ratings). The ongoing nature of healthcare reform is a perfect example of a critical issue that requires meaningful input and effort from both parties. As previously stated, the ACA is here to stay, and Congress must now work in earnest to find middle ground to move forward. However, only time will tell. Election Day Breakdown* U.S. House of Representatives U.S. Senate Republicans Republicans 233 Total Seats 45 Total Seats +18 seats, -21 seats = net loss of -3 seats +1 seat, -3 seats = net loss of -2 seats Democrats Democrats 195 Total Seats 53 Total Seats +26 seats, -17 seats = net gain of +9 seats +3 seats, -1 seat = net gain of +2 seats Independents 2 Total Seats
In what turned out to be a not-so-close electoral race, President Barack Obama returns to the White House with an opportunity to solidify the implementation of his cornerstone achievement, the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The first thing this year’s election results made clear was that the ACA is here to stay, and efforts to fully repeal the law are unlikely. However, attempts to fine-tune provisions of the ACA are possible since this year’s electorate also returned a divided Congress. As the Election Day dust continues to settle, the make-up of the 113th Congress has become clearer. In the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans retained their majority with a total of 233 seats (218 needed), slightly less than their majority in the 112th Congress. As of November 13, 2012, seven House races remained too close to call. Conversely, Democrats in the U.S. Senate succeeded in building upon their existing majority to garner a total of 53 seats. See the accompanying chart for a full U.S. House/Senate Election Day breakdown.
What We Don’t Know
Everything else. Even though this year’s elections returned the same political paradigm to Washington, DC, it doesn’t necessarily mean overwhelming partisan warfare will continue to reign. While Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, their diminished majority could spur a heightened perspective about what it will take to remain in the majority. In addition, Democrats must be cognizant of the fact that many now view the Democrat-controlled Senate as a place where legislation goes to die. An optimistic view of this year’s election results points toward both parties finally realizing that they can’t effectively legislate from the far right or far left. A negative view dictates another “do-nothing” attitude in which no meaningful legislating occurs.
What Happens Now?
Members of the 112th Congress returned to Washington, DC, to convene a lame-duck session on November 13, 2012. The legislative activity or inactivity of the lame duck will drive much of the initial agenda for the 113th Congress. Before the end of this year, Congress must address (at least in concept): expiring tax provisions; looming across-the-board spending cuts due to sequestration; a pending debt ceiling increase; and avoiding the 26.5 percent cut in Medicare physician payments slated for January 1, 2013.
Conclusion
Perhaps the most important thing to remember about the 2012 elections is that the results may be viewed as deceptive. While the electoral vote results returned the President to the White House by a clear margin, there was only a two percentage point difference in the popular vote. Much talk is given to the ideological divide and partisanship that exists on Capitol Hill. However, this year’s election results indicate that the same ideological divide is alive and well within the overall population of the United States. Elected leaders from both parties will be best-served to recognize that no clear power mandate has been deemed by Election Day and movement toward more “give-and-take” legislating will yield the most positive results (and improved approval ratings). The ongoing nature of healthcare reform is a perfect example of a critical issue that requires meaningful input and effort from both parties. As previously stated, the ACA is here to stay, and Congress must now work in earnest to find middle ground to move forward. However, only time will tell.
Election Day Breakdown* | |
---|---|
U.S. House of Representatives | U.S. Senate |
Republicans | Republicans |
233 Total Seats | 45 Total Seats |
+18 seats, -21 seats = net loss of -3 seats | +1 seat, -3 seats = net loss of -2 seats |
Democrats | Democrats |
195 Total Seats | 53 Total Seats |
+26 seats, -17 seats = net gain of +9 seats | +3 seats, -1 seat = net gain of +2 seats |
Independents | |
2 Total Seats |